CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa322df37f72fbe6e5f57a047a95b949d16ccd06b5efa47dfeb32564e452ee132
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- largadosypeladosof largadosypelados, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked largadosypelados | 69c | 2,305$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.98 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed largadosypelados | 73c | 1,461$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.16 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Keyd | 25c | 1,013$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Keyd | 33c | 1,000$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 32c | 985.4$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.18 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed largadosypelados | 76c | 799.99$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed Keyd | 27c | 729.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Keyd | 23c | 721.8$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.34 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Keyd | 33c | 625$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.25 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed largadosypelados | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.2 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked largadosypelados | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Keyd | 27c | 448.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.37 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Keyd | 26c | 391.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Keyd | 22c | 370.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 26c | 359.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed largadosypelados | 75c | 279.02$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed largadosypelados | 66c | 200.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Keyd | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked largadosypelados | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed largadosypelados | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked largadosypelados | 76c | 141.26$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Keyd | 22c | 140.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked largadosypelados | 74c | 105$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Keyd | 22c | 104.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Keyd | 29c | 100.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Keyd | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked largadosypelados | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Keyd | 26c | 75.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 25c | 72.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed largadosypelados | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Keyd | 21c | 65.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked largadosypelados | 73c | 54.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Keyd | 34c | 34.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed largadosypelados | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked largadosypelados | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Keyd - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffslargadosypelados won
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerlargadosypelados won
- Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)largadosypelados won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.