Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd90af414b99670197b00c0a274893834da43c0585afd61b1a8f2cc5839e6904c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, Rex Regum Qeon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed T1 | 40c | 964$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.4 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked T1 | 40c | 609.15$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.22 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Rex Regum Qeon | 62c | 493.28$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.79 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Rex Regum Qeon | 60c | 299.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.99 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 52c | 242.65$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Rex Regum Qeon | 55c | 241.11$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.63 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 57c | 237.57$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed T1 | 39c | 96.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed T1 | 41c | 91.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed T1 | 48c | 83.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Rex Regum Qeon | 52c | 76.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Rex Regum Qeon | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc696…7889backed T1 | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked T1 | 48c | 43.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed T1 | 41c | 40.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed T1 | 47c | 37.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…e658backed T1 | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…38c4backed T1 | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…c2d5backed T1 | 47c | 24.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Rex Regum Qeon | 53c | 24.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…b30ebacked T1 | 47c | 23.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…35c1backed T1 | 46c | 23.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked T1 | 48c | 21.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Rex Regum Qeon (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaT1 won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs T1 - Map 1 WinnerT1 won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs T1 - Map 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.