TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs T1 - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of Rex Regum Qeon, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,579 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd81f…6b75backed Rex Regum Qeon38c1,075$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.249443.6%41 W · 53 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked T166c763.89$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.7345033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked T161c683.74$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.731153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked T163c681.47$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.0978162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Rex Regum Qeon33c598.82$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6116952.1%88 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d91…c930backed T176c570.65$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8821257.1%121 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Rex Regum Qeon38c518.95$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4732047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Rex Regum Qeon35c509.61$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3653442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26e3…0b75backed T165c460.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.3110551.4%54 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed T166c447.43$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.962156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Rex Regum Qeon13c370.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.351,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe1…3ce5backed Rex Regum Qeon36c329.72$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Rex Regum Qeon10c289.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4115217.8%27 W · 125 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e97…b97fbacked Rex Regum Qeon35c280$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed T165c190$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4514645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed T163c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.431457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed T174c144.29$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.057241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Rex Regum Qeon35c144.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.728345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Rex Regum Qeon9c120.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5227847.1%131 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Rex Regum Qeon35c104.58$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8130828.2%87 W · 221 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rex Regum Qeon35c94.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.131,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked T167c91.93$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3462856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed T161c80.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.232665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed T169c78.67$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1899846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Rex Regum Qeon25c68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1726730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ee6…07cabacked T167c46.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5315160.3%91 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Rex Regum Qeon29c46.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.381,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed Rex Regum Qeon35c41.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed T161c34.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed T164c29.89$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7370251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked T179c28.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8519661.7%121 W · 75 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd96b…be6bbacked T176c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.881369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.