Lol · resolved market
LoL: New Meta vs Inferno Drive Tokyo (BO1) - LJL Stage 1 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd923b57ed506d0ab6dd128905b68b6583e3a9e40f36841d739f3dd59b1d5a2ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inferno Drive Tokyoof New Meta, Inferno Drive Tokyo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Inferno Drive Tokyo | 77c | 17,042$13,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,860.58 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked New Meta | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed New Meta | 23c | 2,895$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.1 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked New Meta | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed New Meta | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed New Meta | 23c | 1,491$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.88 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…2230backed New Meta | 24c | 959.68$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.95 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed New Meta | 21c | 437.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked New Meta | 17c | 433.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Inferno Drive Tokyo | 77c | 407.43$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed New Meta | 23c | 323.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked New Meta | 25c | 290.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed New Meta | 23c | 286.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…c1c8backed New Meta | 23c | 258.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked New Meta | 23c | 247.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked New Meta | 23c | 215.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Inferno Drive Tokyo | 77c | 214.52$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked New Meta | 22c | 203.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed New Meta | 23c | 191.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Inferno Drive Tokyo | 78c | 176.61$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0544backed New Meta | 23c | 171.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed New Meta | 24c | 137.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Inferno Drive Tokyo | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de4…db35backed Inferno Drive Tokyo | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9b…529bbacked New Meta | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Inferno Drive Tokyo | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…a38bbacked Inferno Drive Tokyo | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e1…5b84backed Inferno Drive Tokyo | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf624…d3b4backed New Meta | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f91…bf28backed New Meta | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed New Meta | 21c | 93.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed New Meta | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed New Meta | 23c | 53.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9190…896dbacked Inferno Drive Tokyo | 69c | 50.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked New Meta | 28c | 47.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Inferno Drive Tokyo | 78c | 45.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 249 | 49.8%124 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked New Meta | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 573 | 33%189 W · 384 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Inferno Drive Tokyo | 71c | 30.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Inferno Drive Tokyo | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 257 | 64.2%165 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c12…045bbacked Inferno Drive Tokyo | 79c | 16.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7b…66a7backed Inferno Drive Tokyo | 79c | 13.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.