CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Rush (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd98d721c2b379efe913a6949e9b52a8fc5faf711d002b2e14a5d23449799f770
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, Rush
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Rush | 18c | 6,713$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.97 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Rush | 17c | 1,732$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.95 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked Rush | 18c | 1,528$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Rush | 18c | 968.31$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.3 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Rush | 19c | 797.13$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.45 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Rush | 15c | 576.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Rush | 19c | 521.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Rush | 11c | 454.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Rush | 19c | 354.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…2968backed Rush | 15c | 197.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Rush | 18c | 196.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Rush | 12c | 157$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…16e7backed Rush | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Rush | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Rush | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed Rush | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ad…e057backed Rush | 18c | 66.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Rush | 17c | 62.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…b68abacked Rush | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked ShindeN | 78c | 19.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Rush (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Rush vs ShindeN (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: Rush vs ShindeN - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: Rush vs ShindeN - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.