CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rush vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52729e088fdcdc2cb223a44ea1ec546451f0852139d6a631ddce944c3a2d7082
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof Rush, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rush | 12c | 3,748$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.88 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rush | 15c | 3,092$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.84 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Rush | 31c | 1,253$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.16 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Rush | 9c | 1,147$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rush | 12c | 710.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rush | 18c | 632.6$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.79 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Rush | 17c | 424.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked ShindeN | 72c | 422.39$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked ShindeN | 80c | 362.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Rush | 18c | 290$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rush | 16c | 259.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Rush | 17c | 240$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked Rush | 24c | 170.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rush | 22c | 168.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed Rush | 23c | 164.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Rush | 20c | 137$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Rush | 19c | 133$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ShindeN | 69c | 131.89$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Rush | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Rush | 18c | 111.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Rush | 12c | 103.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Rush | 20c | 90.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Rush | 19c | 86.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed Rush | 23c | 81.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Rush | 23c | 74.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Rush | 22c | 71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…2968backed Rush | 22c | 66.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ShindeN | 76c | 59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Rush | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ShindeN | 80c | 41.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ShindeN | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked ShindeN | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rush vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rush vs ShindeN (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: Rush vs ShindeN - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Rush (+1.5)ShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.