Lol · resolved market
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Karmine Corp Blue Stars (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9926e98b5ffc88130732b451e846fbea4d89ab09860cd4b7eaad473df68d841
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitality.Beeof Vitality.Bee, Karmine Corp Blue Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 0c | 4,583$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Vitality.Bee | 65c | 2,000$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.55 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 28c | 929.07$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.49 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 35c | 815.89$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.56 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 35c | 709.54$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.34 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…efc2backed Vitality.Bee | 76c | 658.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.66 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Vitality.Bee | 75c | 622.96$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.95 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Vitality.Bee | 65c | 619.52$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.52 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 23c | 413.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 42c | 322$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…2475backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 19c | 294.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 34c | 263.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…bbcebacked Vitality.Bee | 65c | 252.37$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…0e4fbacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 5c | 205.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Vitality.Bee | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 36c | 159.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed Vitality.Bee | 72c | 159.32$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 22c | 154.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Vitality.Bee | 65c | 149.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 233 | 41.2%96 W · 137 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…6eadbacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 12c | 138.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vitality.Bee | 77c | 117.9$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…140cbacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Vitality.Bee | 66c | 106.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Vitality.Bee | 63c | 103.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…25f8backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 289 | 24.6%71 W · 218 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Vitality.Bee | 64c | 77.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 35c | 69.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vitality.Bee | 62c | 67.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 41c | 52.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Vitality.Bee | 58c | 44.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Vitality.Bee | 65c | 44.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Vitality.Bee | 65c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…c180backed Vitality.Bee | 79c | 37.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vitality.Bee | 56c | 36.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked Vitality.Bee | 63c | 31.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…f04bbacked Vitality.Bee | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Karmine Corp Blue Stars | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…4dcebacked Vitality.Bee | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.