CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Hashiras - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9aa6d35bf524f0dfb5059e920ca2d4bde8a49066103f4216c95dc9c509a66be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Young Ninjasof Young Ninjas, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Hashiras | 49c | 4,965$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.16 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Young Ninjas | 55c | 2,900$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.52 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Young Ninjas | 43c | 1,009$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.69 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hashiras | 50c | 386.1$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.73 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Young Ninjas | 50c | 300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.16 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Young Ninjas | 44c | 288.61$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Hashiras | 53c | 282.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Young Ninjas | 58c | 189.52$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.34 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Young Ninjas | 57c | 188.02$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hashiras | 51c | 137.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Hashiras | 40c | 118.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa03c…f557backed Young Ninjas | 54c | 95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Young Ninjas | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Young Ninjas | 38c | 60.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Hashiras | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Young Ninjas | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed Young Ninjas | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Hashiras - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group DYoung Ninjas won
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Hashiras - Map 2 WinnerYoung Ninjas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.