CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x885d96e9edc4356f001e90fe63741309c0dc85ccb35e5ef7c45bf6d439632b20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Young Ninjasof Young Ninjas, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hashiras | 45c | 5,182$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.26 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Young Ninjas | 55c | 4,599$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.54 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Young Ninjas | 55c | 4,253$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.13 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Hashiras | 42c | 3,970$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.95 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed Young Ninjas | 55c | 2,995$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.93 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hashiras | 44c | 2,070$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.94 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Hashiras | 45c | 1,804$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.49 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hashiras | 45c | 1,502$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.84 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Young Ninjas | 56c | 1,382$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.27 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed Young Ninjas | 57c | 1,200$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.98 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Hashiras | 22c | 1,137$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.58 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -11.7wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hashiras | 43c | 902.23$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.72 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Young Ninjas | 59c | 850$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.31 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Young Ninjas | 55c | 688.83$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.97 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hashiras | 43c | 500$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Hashiras | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Hashiras | 42c | 490.11$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.39 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Young Ninjas | 58c | 460$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.15 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Hashiras | 44c | 442.52$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hashiras | 46c | 440$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.65 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed Hashiras | 47c | 425.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Young Ninjas | 69c | 403$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.54 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e1…e05cbacked Young Ninjas | 58c | 399.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Young Ninjas | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Young Ninjas | 54c | 389$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.53 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Young Ninjas | 55c | 321.93$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.87 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Young Ninjas | 51c | 299.71$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Young Ninjas | 60c | 221.06$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.86 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hashiras | 34c | 188.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Young Ninjas | 63c | 178.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Young Ninjas | 58c | 172.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Hashiras | 33c | 170.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Young Ninjas | 51c | 169$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Hashiras | 49c | 169$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Hashiras | 30c | 166.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Hashiras | 45c | 161.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Young Ninjas | 68c | 148.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Hashiras | 44c | 146.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Hashiras | 40c | 129.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Hashiras | 44c | 119.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Hashiras | 35c | 105.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Hashiras | 47c | 103.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Hashiras | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked Young Ninjas | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Hashiras | 29c | 97.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa03c…f557backed Young Ninjas | 54c | 96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…cfa7backed Young Ninjas | 74c | 91.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Young Ninjas | 55c | 90.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Young Ninjas | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Hashiras | 46c | 87.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Hashiras | 41c | 79.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…e6bfbacked Young Ninjas | 57c | 76.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Hashiras | 40c | 75.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Young Ninjas | 53c | 73.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Young Ninjas | 63c | 59.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Hashiras | 44c | 59.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Young Ninjas | 57c | 58.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Young Ninjas | 58c | 55.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Hashiras | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed Hashiras | 46c | 50.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Young Ninjas | 57c | 33.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Hashiras | 42c | 32.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe60…c2f7backed Young Ninjas | 62c | 31.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Young Ninjas | 64c | 29.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Hashiras | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Young Ninjas | 79c | 27.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Hashiras | 45c | 23.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…57a3backed Young Ninjas | 58c | 18.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Young Ninjas | 58c | 18.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Hashiras - Map 1 WinnerYoung Ninjas won
- Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Hashiras - Map 2 WinnerYoung Ninjas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.