Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Xativa Men: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Oriol Font
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9e2e3543a78c1bed4575cb1738db99669b1f46bcd1947e25d1e315edcaea312
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriol Fontof Alvaro Peiro Serrano, Oriol Font
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 47c | 21,246$10,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,029.97 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oriol Font | 51c | 18,058$9,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,885.82 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Oriol Font | 52c | 1,830$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.87 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Oriol Font | 32c | 1,775$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.81 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Oriol Font | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Oriol Font | 43c | 584.67$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.21 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 47c | 580$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.6 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oriol Font | 43c | 527.81$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.88 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Oriol Font | 39c | 376$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.13 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 60c | 366.03$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.14 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Oriol Font | 40c | 277.16$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.54 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Oriol Font | 39c | 241.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.44 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 29c | 101.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Oriol Font | 57c | 93.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 18c | 85.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 507 | 36.1%183 W · 324 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 56c | 73.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Oriol Font | 56c | 66.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Oriol Font | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 41c | 46.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed Oriol Font | 52c | 46.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0932…ba5abacked Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 48c | 40.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -77%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Oriol Font | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 40c | 30.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Oriol Font | 47c | 28.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9de…47ffbacked Oriol Font | 55c | 27.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd41e…28e2backed Oriol Font | 55c | 27.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Oriol Font | 42c | 25.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oriol Font | 48c | 23.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Oriol Font | 66c | 22.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed Oriol Font | 57c | 20.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 53c | 20.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -21.0wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…809cbacked Alvaro Peiro Serrano | 79c | 18.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Oriol Font | 59c | 17.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.