CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Benched gods (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9f7c4e1a46684376a9652390d96eb56e1870ae3f47eb141c6ae4acd2d2741df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof Leo Team, Benched gods
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1431…94d0backed Benched gods | 1c | 18,804$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.55 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…a1e5backed Benched gods | 44c | 4,068$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Leo Team | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Leo Team | 22c | 660.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.1 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…e928backed Benched gods | 60c | 400.42$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.25 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…5cf2backed Benched gods | 70c | 359.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…42a6backed Benched gods | 72c | 301.62$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Leo Team | 39c | 291.87$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.11 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Leo Team | 41c | 270.75$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.75 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Benched gods | 61c | 219.37$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Leo Team | 45c | 196$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed Leo Team | 37c | 134.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Benched gods | 60c | 109.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Leo Team | 33c | 105$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Leo Team | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…aef7backed Benched gods | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a69…8caabacked Leo Team | 28c | 53.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Benched gods | 65c | 51.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Leo Team | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Leo Team | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed Leo Team | 30c | 39.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Benched gods | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Benched gods | 51c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.