TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Austin: Kaja Juvan vs McCartney Kessler

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
McCartney Kesslerof Kaja Juvan, McCartney Kessler
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,227

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,227 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked McCartney Kessler57c3,517$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.5311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked McCartney Kessler63c1,949$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.832,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kaja Juvan37c1,836$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.338,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Kaja Juvan32c1,800$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.9846932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Kaja Juvan31c1,437$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45095846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Kaja Juvan45c1,330$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.912,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Kaja Juvan49c1,316$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.211,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked McCartney Kessler41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59039438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked Kaja Juvan12c886.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.112032.5%39 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Kaja Juvan57c877.97$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50046473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked McCartney Kessler73c835.5$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.126,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Kaja Juvan23c833$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.591,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked McCartney Kessler65c824.17$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.792,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kaja Juvan26c805.79$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.515541.8%23 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Kaja Juvan34c478.39$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.924,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed McCartney Kessler55c477.57$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.912,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Kaja Juvan32c467.95$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3837230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked McCartney Kessler68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1826853.7%144 W · 124 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed McCartney Kessler72c413.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.821,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e7…c376backed Kaja Juvan29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1163514.3%5 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-52.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Kaja Juvan31c321.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked McCartney Kessler67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9953457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Kaja Juvan33c298$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.391,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kaja Juvan25c281.52$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.516,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kaja Juvan19c237.83$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.112,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked McCartney Kessler64c204.12$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed McCartney Kessler61c186.52$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.741,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Kaja Juvan25c165.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.681,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked McCartney Kessler68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482378.3%18 W · 5 L+6.1wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+55.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3d8d…674fbacked McCartney Kessler68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed McCartney Kessler65c149.97$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.491,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Kaja Juvan33c149.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed McCartney Kessler68c147.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.281,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed McCartney Kessler65c135.71$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.56,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe71c…79aebacked McCartney Kessler76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581070%7 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick74cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62f…186dbacked Kaja Juvan43c117.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed McCartney Kessler70c112.79$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.657455.4%41 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Kaja Juvan33c112.3$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.523,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed McCartney Kessler66c108.44$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.011,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked McCartney Kessler68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3277967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked McCartney Kessler46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5451539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked McCartney Kessler68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3238268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Kaja Juvan43c90$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.393,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Kaja Juvan41c85.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.066,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kaja Juvan33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.41,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5661…6323backed Kaja Juvan65c78.46$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110267.6%69 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed McCartney Kessler69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4686470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kaja Juvan28c65.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.629,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3746…a99fbacked Kaja Juvan29c62.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.347041.4%29 W · 41 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed McCartney Kessler70c59.93$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2439872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed McCartney Kessler61c57.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3924244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Kaja Juvan34c56.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.141,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked McCartney Kessler41c56.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.128247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed McCartney Kessler74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0534159.5%203 W · 138 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x628a…6d8fbacked McCartney Kessler65c53.82$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9811347.8%54 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked McCartney Kessler67c51.23$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.917342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Kaja Juvan25c51.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7843058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked McCartney Kessler50c51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4299044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed McCartney Kessler66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179455.3%52 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Kaja Juvan34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed McCartney Kessler45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.590340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Kaja Juvan32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Kaja Juvan54c45.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7126349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Kaja Juvan26c45.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.857856.4%44 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed McCartney Kessler67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8560240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…52e8backed McCartney Kessler58c39.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.694100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kaja Juvan30c35.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.641,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ff…6672backed Kaja Juvan33c33.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1115512.9%20 W · 135 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf0…0d6cbacked McCartney Kessler38c32.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.061844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick31cpaid-23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed Kaja Juvan33c31.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.157441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Kaja Juvan38c30.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5631434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed McCartney Kessler67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8554050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed McCartney Kessler67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8519251.6%99 W · 93 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed McCartney Kessler68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4116858.9%99 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Kaja Juvan35c29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1596844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked McCartney Kessler70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5794060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Kaja Juvan53c26.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8736333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa60…49c2backed McCartney Kessler73c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed Kaja Juvan44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.954650%23 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed McCartney Kessler68c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.011,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Kaja Juvan46c21.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0584736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18b6…988dbacked McCartney Kessler70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.432871.4%20 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick72cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed McCartney Kessler80c16.45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3221172%152 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked McCartney Kessler68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed McCartney Kessler77c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.9932450.9%165 W · 159 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.