Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Dynamo Kyiv beat Viktoria Plzen?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda7a95af4a0a81a58c452269e5df4dc5e175bd0aa015c8c7b217e3b1fc2f7cb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 61c | 1,730$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.25 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 34c | 911.36$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.86 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 28c | 749.08$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes | 41c | 708.79$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.73 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa5…dc76backed Yes | 20c | 606.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 62c | 466.11$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.12 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 33c | 247.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…f184backed No | 67c | 247.22$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 64c | 158.33$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bf…b25ebacked Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 63c | 127.92$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed No | 73c | 122.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 27c | 122.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 73c | 60.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…eba4backed Yes | 33c | 60.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc258…447bbacked Yes | 27c | 57.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 63c | 38.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 55c | 23.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dynamo Kyiv beat Viktoria Plzen?this page
- Will Viktoria Plzen beat Dynamo Kyiv?Yes won
- Will the match between Dynamo Kyiv and Viktoria Plzen end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.