Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sapporo: Tori Kinard vs Yuzuha Negishi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda7b90e7f5ae7eee62debb07691b7db7a9ed136d52e4aebd18b6f179f898aafc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yuzuha Negishiof Tori Kinard, Yuzuha Negishi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Tori Kinard | 61c | 3,632$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.94 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yuzuha Negishi | 35c | 2,336$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.68 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yuzuha Negishi | 43c | 1,283$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.07 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yuzuha Negishi | 52c | 226$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tori Kinard | 56c | 213.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Tori Kinard | 73c | 196.66$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.26 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yuzuha Negishi | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tori Kinard | 51c | 124.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yuzuha Negishi | 50c | 106.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Tori Kinard | 53c | 98.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Yuzuha Negishi | 54c | 85.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Tori Kinard | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tori Kinard | 45c | 54.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed Tori Kinard | 63c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Tori Kinard | 63c | 45.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…8a97backed Yuzuha Negishi | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +214.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Tori Kinard | 71c | 31.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Yuzuha Negishi | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Tori Kinard | 62c | 23.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Tori Kinard | 57c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Tori Kinard | 61c | 18.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tori Kinard | 74c | 13.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.