CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs FC Famalicão Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda82eec9db69b41ceadb8e4fed53c6ef8077530657e312b48b6a8c28ea96fcd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof Johnny Speeds, FC Famalicão Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,989 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 2c | 2,576$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Johnny Speeds | 49c | 1,496$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.58 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed FC Famalicão Esports | 40c | 1,192$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.24 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FC Famalicão Esports | 37c | 863.43$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.19 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FC Famalicão Esports | 35c | 809.47$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.64 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Famalicão Esports | 35c | 769.35$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.69 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FC Famalicão Esports | 32c | 525.74$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.87 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Johnny Speeds | 62c | 487.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Johnny Speeds | 51c | 402.03$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 18c | 386.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Johnny Speeds | 79c | 385.01$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.01 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed FC Famalicão Esports | 49c | 280.74$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed Johnny Speeds | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Johnny Speeds | 75c | 180$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 45c | 168.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed FC Famalicão Esports | 19c | 136.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 96.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Johnny Speeds | 52c | 84.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed FC Famalicão Esports | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed FC Famalicão Esports | 16c | 72.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked FC Famalicão Esports | 26c | 56.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2e25backed FC Famalicão Esports | 18c | 56.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Johnny Speeds | 46c | 46.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Johnny Speeds | 78c | 39.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Johnny Speeds | 61c | 39.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed FC Famalicão Esports | 47c | 33.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Johnny Speeds | 57c | 27.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Johnny Speeds | 60c | 22.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Johnny Speeds | 55c | 19.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Johnny Speeds | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…5080backed Johnny Speeds | 75c | 13.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Johnny Speeds | 75c | 13.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs FC Famalicão Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - Journey Group BJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs FC Famalicão Esports - Map 2 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.