CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - Journey Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadf3744018408a501e797941d2d51a2eab731a6ddbce6d5cff1d6fa924d6b48e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof Johnny Speeds, FC Famalicão Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,880 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FC Famalicão Esports | 15c | 1,825$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.86 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed FC Famalicão Esports | 12c | 1,608$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked FC Famalicão Esports | 1c | 1,429$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb63…73d4backed FC Famalicão Esports | 14c | 1,270$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…9ac2backed FC Famalicão Esports | 14c | 1,163$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FC Famalicão Esports | 13c | 814.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.82 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked FC Famalicão Esports | 12c | 435$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 15c | 394$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed FC Famalicão Esports | 8c | 393.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed FC Famalicão Esports | 11c | 388$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8087backed FC Famalicão Esports | 14c | 385$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FC Famalicão Esports | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed FC Famalicão Esports | 13c | 341.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 14c | 263$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…87a3backed FC Famalicão Esports | 6c | 247.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked FC Famalicão Esports | 13c | 241.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197d…8314backed FC Famalicão Esports | 14c | 192$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed FC Famalicão Esports | 15c | 190.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed FC Famalicão Esports | 13c | 185$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…be94backed FC Famalicão Esports | 16c | 179.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed FC Famalicão Esports | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed FC Famalicão Esports | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…a903backed FC Famalicão Esports | 8c | 146.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 12c | 144.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed FC Famalicão Esports | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6c…63efbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 12c | 106$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed FC Famalicão Esports | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed FC Famalicão Esports | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…7858backed FC Famalicão Esports | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf4…380fbacked FC Famalicão Esports | 12c | 97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…5568backed FC Famalicão Esports | 12c | 94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…511ebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 12c | 92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e3…9e68backed FC Famalicão Esports | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…12c4backed FC Famalicão Esports | 13c | 89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked FC Famalicão Esports | 12c | 86.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b0…b312backed FC Famalicão Esports | 13c | 84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…ef6ebacked FC Famalicão Esports | 13c | 82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…51b7backed FC Famalicão Esports | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - Journey Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs FC Famalicão Esports - Map 1 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs FC Famalicão Esports - Map 2 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.