Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Cornell Big Red (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda9c551b27c8dcb9d60884376f65fc10eae250f1c8160f041b69493dd2d2183a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cornell Big Redof Cornell Big Red, Princeton Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Princeton Tigers | 48c | 2,232$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Cornell Big Red | 51c | 1,777$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.88 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Cornell Big Red | 53c | 1,739$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.42 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Princeton Tigers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Princeton Tigers | 49c | 393$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.98 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Princeton Tigers | 49c | 202.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Princeton Tigers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Princeton Tigers | 49c | 134.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Princeton Tigers | 45c | 109.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Princeton Tigers | 43c | 109.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Cornell Big Red | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…959ebacked Cornell Big Red | 56c | 45.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Cornell Big Red | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Princeton Tigers | 49c | 31.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Princeton Tigers | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Cornell Big Red | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Cornell Big Red | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cornell Big Red (-5.5)this page
- Princeton Tigers vs. Cornell Big RedCornell Big Red won
- Princeton Tigers vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 158.5Under won
- Princeton Tigers vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 161.5Under won
- Princeton Tigers vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: Cornell Big Red (-6.5)Cornell Big Red won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.