Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Livingston FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdab481492c60f6b00cce514bf06b7cc821f46ffd1b8045d358e41cb2655db51d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 35c | 1,700$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.03 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 64c | 1,496$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.73 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 969.89$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.34 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 33c | 310.26$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.26 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 34c | 264$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.7 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 26c | 219$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.59 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 36c | 189.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 35c | 168.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.12 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 39c | 136.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 117.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 109.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 107.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 26c | 94.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 88.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 80.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…980fbacked Yes | 57c | 58.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 40c | 56.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 21c | 54.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 60c | 49.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 47.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 64c | 46.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 76c | 44.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Yes | 46c | 43.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 64c | 35.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…3dd3backed No | 75c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 72c | 27.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c7…3e1dbacked Yes | 77c | 26.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 75c | 25.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 24.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 43c | 24.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 43c | 24.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef08…2cd0backed No | 63c | 23.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 76c | 21.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…0e52backed No | 80c | 21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed No | 76c | 18.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 75c | 17.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 74c | 15.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 74c | 15.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…3003backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Livingston FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-04-05?No won
- Will Livingston FC win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.