MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdab8180a51cf58823bd52c7a83c12fa80ab4f59177c5024febb6a2e1064c4d2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Kiwoom Heroes, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 2c | 4,601$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 807.27$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.29 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 640.76$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.96 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 599.4$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.38 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Kiwoom Heroes | 26c | 499.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Kiwoom Heroes | 23c | 459.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.14 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Samsung Lions | 68c | 427.8$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 362.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 349.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Samsung Lions | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Samsung Lions | 78c | 254.68$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 232.57$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Samsung Lions | 70c | 227.93$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…d538backed Kiwoom Heroes | 15c | 207.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samsung Lions | 70c | 169.85$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Samsung Lions | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 74.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 67.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 44.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Samsung Lions | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Samsung Lions | 68c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 28.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 22.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Samsung Lions | 72c | 20.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 20.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Samsung Lions | 69c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Samsung Lions | 76c | 17.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.