CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdad72def347f44a607d80376cec503f02c7f0225ec28818dec60eabacc2d0fff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof ECSTATIC, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf971…0a57backed ECSTATIC | 22c | 1,121$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.09 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Johnny Speeds | 76c | 867.33$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.95 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed ECSTATIC | 30c | 710.98$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.79 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Johnny Speeds | 72c | 553.79$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.08 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Johnny Speeds | 77c | 546.85$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Johnny Speeds | 65c | 527.71$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.08 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds | 76c | 397.88$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed ECSTATIC | 12c | 380.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ECSTATIC | 32c | 279.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…8d93backed Johnny Speeds | 57c | 262.11$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Johnny Speeds | 79c | 212.58$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ECSTATIC | 23c | 198.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…0b28backed ECSTATIC | 24c | 180$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed ECSTATIC | 32c | 177.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ECSTATIC | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Johnny Speeds | 70c | 131.51$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 78c | 123.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked ECSTATIC | 19c | 106$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked ECSTATIC | 15c | 100.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Johnny Speeds | 71c | 96.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Johnny Speeds | 64c | 92.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…d2c8backed Johnny Speeds | 75c | 85.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Johnny Speeds | 67c | 71.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked ECSTATIC | 22c | 61.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Johnny Speeds | 63c | 57.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ECSTATIC | 34c | 45.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…b0e0backed Johnny Speeds | 71c | 36.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Johnny Speeds | 73c | 35.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed Johnny Speeds | 73c | 34.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c29…ed84backed Johnny Speeds | 73c | 28.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ECSTATIC | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc0…ac69backed Johnny Speeds | 69c | 20.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Johnny Speeds | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Johnny Speeds | 71c | 16.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 180 | 57.2%103 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed Johnny Speeds | 80c | 13.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 61cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 WinnerECSTATIC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.