Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Klim Sani4 - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb623f10d396b94aecad41aadfa083ddb5d0c80bd338c7da34ad6b0ee5367364
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Klim Sani4of Team Syntax, Klim Sani4
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Syntax | 15c | 1,913$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.17 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Syntax | 11c | 1,094$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.85 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2a…0620backed Team Syntax | 12c | 869.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Team Syntax | 12c | 783.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Team Syntax | 10c | 706.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team Syntax | 13c | 600$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Syntax | 12c | 548.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 372 | 41.9%156 W · 216 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Syntax | 14c | 250.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Syntax | 14c | 235$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Team Syntax | 17c | 209.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…67f1backed Team Syntax | 10c | 153$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…f4b8backed Team Syntax | 14c | 131.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Syntax | 13c | 122$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Team Syntax | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -15.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Syntax | 20c | 98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 634 | 47.6%302 W · 332 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Team Syntax | 16c | 92.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Klim Sani4 - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Klim Sani4 (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BKlim Sani4 won
- Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Klim Sani4 - Game 2 WinnerKlim Sani4 won
- Game Handicap: KS (-1.5) vs Team Syntax (+1.5)Klim Sani4 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.