South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club win on 2025-09-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb70e113e76e24cac2e47f8e49c82388d1a8c5a7680db8c322434d20072114a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 1,652$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.4 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7417…e6dcbacked No | 71c | 1,626$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 50c | 1,544$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.59 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked No | 71c | 980.3$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 74cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x131f…bb8dbacked Yes | 66c | 456.87$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0148backed Yes | 46c | 172.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 69c | 165$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 149.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked No | 22c | 131.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 72c | 125.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…9fd4backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 69c | 91.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Yes | 47c | 63.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe655…0bb4backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…8709backed No | 69c | 37.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…ce11backed Yes | 47c | 21.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…9ab0backed Yes | 49c | 21.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 70c | 21.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club win on 2025-09-16?this page
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-09-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.