NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb724bf426ef91a916803ac7c6dc078ec1904bad0cf15d694cb9c247e6719138
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 48c | 19,132$9,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,183.46 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Under | 52c | 9,239$4,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,434.52 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 55c | 7,083$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.66 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 53c | 5,342$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.74 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Over | 45c | 3,871$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.15 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Under | 52c | 2,160$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.8 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 45c | 2,020$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.07 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 1,175$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 52c | 1,046$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.09 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…e4f7backed Under | 54c | 307.3$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Under | 54c | 305.56$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.56 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Under | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Under | 53c | 149.06$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 47c | 126.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 53c | 109$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Under | 54c | 101$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 47c | 53.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 45c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Under | 54c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Over | 48c | 45.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Over | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed Under | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7848…5f80backed Under | 53c | 31.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Over | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. BruinsHurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.