La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb794953b048bd5f8d46054263f8525f4ce35bc48909db595fae9de04c7d4fbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c57…f939backed Yes | 60c | 3,334$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…5cf1backed No | 77c | 2,448$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 2,288$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.25 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 1,111$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.62 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 40c | 789.17$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.99 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 31c | 635.48$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 64c | 596.88$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 43c | 384.55$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 40c | 312$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 40c | 312$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 40c | 297.7$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.62 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 37c | 150.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.61 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 63c | 129.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 104.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 27c | 102.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 85.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 64c | 85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 24c | 78.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 28c | 77.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 58c | 61.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 38c | 53.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 50.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 64c | 41.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed No | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 36c | 33.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 39c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 77c | 19.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-03?Yes won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.