Euroleague · resolved market
Forca Lleida CE vs. La Laguna Tenerife
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb89ef5b1047299a4e9a53e0984f669594aeef1d35500d3a4c6e09f1747af085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Forca Lleida CEof Forca Lleida CE, La Laguna Tenerife
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Forca Lleida CE | 42c | 495.36$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.85 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed La Laguna Tenerife | 61c | 258.52$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.14 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Forca Lleida CE | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 57c | 181.47$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Forca Lleida CE | 9c | 159.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.82 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…6f50backed La Laguna Tenerife | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Forca Lleida CE | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…dd54backed La Laguna Tenerife | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed La Laguna Tenerife | 61c | 46.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 64c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…9b16backed La Laguna Tenerife | 65c | 33.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…c31fbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Forca Lleida CE | 33c | 31.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed La Laguna Tenerife | 63c | 31.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed La Laguna Tenerife | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Forca Lleida CE | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +11.5wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…0dbabacked La Laguna Tenerife | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed La Laguna Tenerife | 61c | 17.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.