Other European Leagues · resolved market
Brøndby IF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbbed95910ba4dc0d748d1c4d3e295301e270fe16502c2281de8f60939ade5e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 46c | 2,200$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.95 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,846$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 56c | 999.96$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 51c | 881.83$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.19 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 56c | 635.93$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.35 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 46c | 449.88$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.91 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 55c | 352.94$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.78 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 56c | 335$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.6 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 44c | 246.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 46c | 217.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 44c | 185$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 149$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.44 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 104.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 93.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 35c | 72.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 57.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 56c | 56.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 59c | 54.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 43.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brøndby IF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5this page
- Brøndby IF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brøndby IF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)Brøndby IF won
- Spread: Brøndby IF (-1.5)Aarhus GF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.