CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbc1edde7f38ed9fe328ce25823a06003dac4a3857302bf4d0b79ebc9c90b346
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Alliance, Oxuji Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Alliance | 79c | 464.68$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Alliance | 64c | 459.19$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Oxuji Esports | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Alliance | 33c | 284.41$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.82 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Oxuji Esports | 36c | 271.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Alliance | 78c | 180.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Alliance | 63c | 145.63$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb386…5087backed Oxuji Esports | 45c | 122.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Alliance | 56c | 113.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Oxuji Esports | 30c | 106$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Oxuji Esports | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Oxuji Esports | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Oxuji Esports | 54c | 87.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Oxuji Esports | 30c | 83.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Oxuji Esports | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Oxuji Esports | 28c | 66.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…340fbacked Alliance | 60c | 65.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Oxuji Esports | 36c | 62.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Oxuji Esports | 44c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Alliance | 46c | 53.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Oxuji Esports | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Oxuji Esports | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…3b2ebacked Alliance | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Oxuji Esports | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…fd19backed Oxuji Esports | 69c | 25.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oxuji Esports | 69c | 14.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.