CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb30fb8e280a8c527763e7d4614b2b0806fb29fbb32a75c2ccccc2c9adbe48249
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Alliance, Oxuji Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Oxuji Esports | 24c | 11,626$2,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.94 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Alliance | 74c | 3,700$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.09 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Alliance | 77c | 3,290$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.74 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Alliance | 75c | 2,421$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.16 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Oxuji Esports | 21c | 1,171$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.92 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Alliance | 79c | 1,016$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.23 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Alliance | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Alliance | 73c | 868.69$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oxuji Esports | 28c | 736.35$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.75 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oxuji Esports | 17c | 654.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Oxuji Esports | 21c | 609.81$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.19 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Alliance | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…b5abbacked Alliance | 74c | 382.7$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Oxuji Esports | 21c | 373.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Alliance | 79c | 315.91$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Alliance | 78c | 288.77$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Oxuji Esports | 21c | 285.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0510…4c9cbacked Alliance | 77c | 255.62$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Oxuji Esports | 31c | 240.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Oxuji Esports | 11c | 225.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Oxuji Esports | 22c | 223.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Oxuji Esports | 15c | 220$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Oxuji Esports | 27c | 201.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Alliance | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Alliance | 74c | 199.14$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Oxuji Esports | 22c | 190.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Alliance | 77c | 178.83$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Oxuji Esports | 17c | 111.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Oxuji Esports | 30c | 101.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Oxuji Esports | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Oxuji Esports | 20c | 99.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Oxuji Esports | 19c | 81.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Oxuji Esports | 30c | 76.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Oxuji Esports | 30c | 72.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked Oxuji Esports | 22c | 68.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Alliance | 80c | 62.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Oxuji Esports | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Oxuji Esports | 22c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Oxuji Esports | 21c | 50.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Alliance | 74c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alliance | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Alliance | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…ad5abacked Alliance | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Alliance | 66c | 27.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Alliance | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 123 | 68.3%84 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Alliance | 76c | 22.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb490…4e59backed Alliance | 78c | 20.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Alliance | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Alliance | 77c | 19.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Alliance | 76c | 15.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Alliance | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 WinnerAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.