La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbd43ece5c6c8d4909a4bba5ecf5ff590746128de3998ff1fe8cd7ccd318eece
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,169$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.28 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 1,828$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.34 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 44c | 1,710$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.85 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 61c | 1,529$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.51 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 46c | 900$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 15c | 896.79$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.05 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 70c | 853.22$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 47c | 657.45$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Yes | 29c | 435.09$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.82 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 40c | 350.26$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.3 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 332.73$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.57 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 36c | 302.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.77 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 59c | 218$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.38 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 46c | 199.77$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x24ea…252dbacked Yes | 48c | 190.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 52c | 187.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 28c | 149.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 35c | 143.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Yes | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…b427backed Yes | 45c | 106.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 49c | 74.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed No | 50c | 66.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 47c | 66.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 62c | 65.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 46c | 64.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 48c | 64.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 19c | 55.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 52.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 49.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4d5fbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc548…c22ebacked Yes | 48c | 31.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 48c | 30.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes | 40c | 30.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 26.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 50c | 24.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed No | 57c | 23.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf774…3821backed No | 59c | 18.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.