CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc01a7bd7324ccd1f180893e56b0c98764562f7b3c33a5573739772503b8e1b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof HAVU, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,061 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked HAVU | 20c | 1,603$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.98 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf0…9bf5backed HAVU | 16c | 915.76$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed HAVU | 22c | 903.78$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.45 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Nemiga | 79c | 868$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.28 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HAVU | 21c | 812.88$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.91 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked HAVU | 17c | 702.84$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked HAVU | 17c | 677.38$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nemiga | 79c | 510.41$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Nemiga | 78c | 482$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.39 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Nemiga | 79c | 470$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Nemiga | 79c | 345.25$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed HAVU | 26c | 312.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…850abacked Nemiga | 79c | 253.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af8…a69ebacked HAVU | 21c | 242.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed HAVU | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nemiga | 79c | 183$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nemiga | 80c | 154.79$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed HAVU | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed HAVU | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…d991backed Nemiga | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed HAVU | 18c | 116$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HAVU | 17c | 113.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HAVU | 10c | 106.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed HAVU | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Nemiga | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed HAVU | 14c | 97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HAVU | 21c | 78.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed HAVU | 18c | 77.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked HAVU | 19c | 77.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed HAVU | 20c | 70.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked HAVU | 18c | 67.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked HAVU | 19c | 66.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed HAVU | 21c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nemiga | 78c | 46.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Nemiga | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Nemiga | 80c | 14.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Nemiga - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Nemiga - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
- Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs HAVU (+1.5)Nemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.