CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1f48d11ae8874d1ade08e43dfc29edb8fbb0e4f745057206fa6cab8a6b2ba57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof HAVU, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,841 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked HAVU | 35c | 2,022$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.15 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed HAVU | 35c | 1,928$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.85 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nemiga | 64c | 1,170$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.04 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked HAVU | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Nemiga | 57c | 873.1$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.1 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HAVU | 48c | 710$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.34 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Nemiga | 62c | 669.6$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.27 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked HAVU | 34c | 586.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nemiga | 70c | 524$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.11 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…9185backed Nemiga | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…ef63backed HAVU | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nemiga | 55c | 402.39$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.08 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…c2c6backed Nemiga | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…c3b9backed HAVU | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HAVU | 28c | 159.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed HAVU | 39c | 148$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed HAVU | 42c | 143$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga | 68c | 118.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed HAVU | 22c | 104$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nemiga | 64c | 102$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed HAVU | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked HAVU | 26c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed HAVU | 25c | 82.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed HAVU | 32c | 80.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed HAVU | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed HAVU | 22c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed HAVU | 20c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked HAVU | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Nemiga | 78c | 65.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Nemiga | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nemiga | 56c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nemiga | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Nemiga | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked HAVU | 36c | 41.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed HAVU | 38c | 40.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed HAVU | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed HAVU | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…9d51backed Nemiga | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed HAVU | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nemiga | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Nemiga - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
- Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs HAVU (+1.5)Nemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.