Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc0b3c25f037169a3a8d0d0d1d1cdf4561bb77ddadf91c0914ddef0022f95bfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Over | 42c | 1,744$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 835.06$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.77 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 57c | 588.01$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.94 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 57c | 502.82$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.21 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Over | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 38c | 92.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Over | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 41c | 73.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…ece6backed Under | 69c | 57.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 62c | 54.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Under | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7348…0a82backed Under | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 44c | 22.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 60c | 18.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 62c | 16.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Under | 62c | 16.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)LNG Esports won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaLNG Esports won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 1 WinnerLNG Esports won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerLNG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.