Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc3cc54913dc41387bf32ee91efb85f24a418a2c76833c10c6aa0934fba1fea4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 1,972$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.48 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 58c | 1,017$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.19 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 61c | 532.77$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.78 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed No | 40c | 316$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3113backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 42c | 113.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Yes | 60c | 89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Yes | 60c | 87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 66cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Yes | 60c | 76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed Yes | 57c | 71.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 60c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 32c | 67.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Yes | 60c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 57c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 66c | 52.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 43c | 52.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 39c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 38.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 63c | 28.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Kilmarnock FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2025-12-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.