Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Alex Barrena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc3fbaac30e01f7de72bf385848612f71a282d842ea3e5481e22d9e553b3802d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timofey Skatovof Timofey Skatov, Alex Barrena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Alex Barrena | 15c | 13,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Alex Barrena | 18c | 3,084$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.14 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Alex Barrena | 10c | 1,521$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alex Barrena | 22c | 1,353$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…246dbacked Alex Barrena | 19c | 808$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.52 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Timofey Skatov | 77c | 620$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Alex Barrena | 22c | 433.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Alex Barrena | 13c | 410.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0374…1782backed Alex Barrena | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Timofey Skatov | 76c | 311.7$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Alex Barrena | 7c | 243.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Alex Barrena | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Alex Barrena | 13c | 233.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Alex Barrena | 18c | 231.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Alex Barrena | 9c | 209.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Alex Barrena | 9c | 197.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Barrena | 12c | 188.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Timofey Skatov | 79c | 150.38$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Alex Barrena | 25c | 123.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Alex Barrena | 23c | 106.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Timofey Skatov | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Alex Barrena | 19c | 92.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Alex Barrena | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Timofey Skatov | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Timofey Skatov | 80c | 20.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Timofey Skatov | 80c | 16.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Timofey Skatov | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Alex Barrenathis page
- Skatov vs. Barrena: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Skatov vs. Barrena: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.