Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NEC win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc759a827a1827718179b86de7d68c2ca8b88d3f581925d0b7a1d7ebe4ef3885
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 30c | 45,000$13,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,408.07 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 12,320$9,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.33 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 47c | 8,038$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260.38 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 70c | 7,879$5,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.29 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 47c | 4,444$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.32 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed No | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 43c | 1,399$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.08 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 592.26$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.01 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 47c | 492$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 43c | 468.7$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.16 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 45c | 379.96$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.98 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 58c | 308.08$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.44 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 53c | 232.8$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed No | 53c | 197.09$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 52c | 31.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5e…d841backed Yes | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c0…1f9fbacked Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9757…190bbacked Yes | 48c | 21.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 52c | 19.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEC win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will FC Groningen win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will NEC vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.