Euroleague · resolved market
Ningbo Rockets vs. Shanghai Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc93571e88f8461c748b6cf111fad42246e94682d5dd1deadf1273af51e178a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Sharksof Ningbo Rockets, Shanghai Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Ningbo Rockets | 10c | 2,948$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.78 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ningbo Rockets | 14c | 1,482$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.22 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ningbo Rockets | 3c | 818.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Ningbo Rockets | 17c | 660.39$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Ningbo Rockets | 17c | 601.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ningbo Rockets | 15c | 599.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Ningbo Rockets | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ningbo Rockets | 12c | 445.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ningbo Rockets | 11c | 420.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Ningbo Rockets | 17c | 299.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Ningbo Rockets | 15c | 294.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…1c68backed Ningbo Rockets | 17c | 199.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Ningbo Rockets | 10c | 190.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Ningbo Rockets | 12c | 173.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Ningbo Rockets | 13c | 154$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ningbo Rockets | 16c | 124.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Ningbo Rockets | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Ningbo Rockets | 14c | 106.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Ningbo Rockets | 18c | 76.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Shanghai Sharks | 79c | 17.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.