Tennis · resolved market
Saint-Malo: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Jessika Ponchet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcd92c1cb4c4e7655b365e8a48e34778ed4cc8491da1c5c772606b25b2e19caa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jessika Ponchetof Yasmine Kabbaj, Jessika Ponchet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 15c | 4,891$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.14 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 6c | 2,472$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Jessika Ponchet | 80c | 1,307$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.79 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…b2f8backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 26c | 1,100$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Jessika Ponchet | 76c | 988.92$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.34 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 8c | 888$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 24c | 499.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jessika Ponchet | 76c | 489.29$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 20c | 396.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 14c | 249.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 9c | 241.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Jessika Ponchet | 76c | 236.84$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 21c | 171.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 17c | 158.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Jessika Ponchet | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Jessika Ponchet | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 12c | 128.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 13c | 114.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb594…c1a0backed Jessika Ponchet | 76c | 90.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 77 | 68.8%53 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e047backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Jessika Ponchet | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…51d2backed Jessika Ponchet | 77c | 49.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71e6…64dabacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Jessika Ponchet | 75c | 39.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Jessika Ponchet | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Jessika Ponchet | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 100 | 70%70 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Jessika Ponchet | 79c | 37.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Jessika Ponchet | 78c | 27.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Jessika Ponchet | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 65 | 73.8%48 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Jessika Ponchet | 76c | 26.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Jessika Ponchet | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Jessika Ponchet | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint-Malo: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Jessika Ponchetthis page
- Kabbaj vs. Ponchet: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Kabbaj vs PonchetPonchet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.