Lol · resolved market
LoL: Axolotl vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdce752e97ef96ac8eff54d16359fb898eec6980eb5c99888e4713299f6773abf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GMBLERS ESPORTSof Axolotl, GMBLERS ESPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Axolotl | 37c | 4,076$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.34 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…f1abbacked Axolotl | 2c | 4,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 71 | 1.4%1 W · 70 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Axolotl | 12c | 2,632$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Axolotl | 33c | 2,607$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.38 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…f4c4backed Axolotl | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 6.3%8 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 65c | 1,706$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.16 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 72c | 1,227$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.44 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Axolotl | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.43 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 66c | 1,076$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.76 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Axolotl | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 65c | 999.98$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…18cabacked Axolotl | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 67c | 838.75$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.67 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 57c | 751.12$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.18 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 70c | 700$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Axolotl | 5c | 693.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 114 | 0%0 W · 114 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 67c | 683.3$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.77 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 50c | 599.5$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.25 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 74c | 500$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 268 | 65.7%176 W · 92 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 55c | 369$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.05 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…e222backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 59c | 337.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.77 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Axolotl | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Axolotl | 35c | 254$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.82 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Axolotl | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 76c | 241.32$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Axolotl | 35c | 238$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccef…7c90backed Axolotl | 34c | 228.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Axolotl | 38c | 217.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…7066backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 67c | 191.96$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…b398backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 62c | 161.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…4574backed Axolotl | 17c | 143.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Axolotl | 15c | 134.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…7693backed Axolotl | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Axolotl | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Axolotl | 16c | 113.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 289 | 24.6%71 W · 218 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Axolotl | 34c | 64.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…48f3backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 80c | 63.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb50f…c837backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 63c | 63.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Axolotl | 34c | 61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881c…92b1backed Axolotl | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 66c | 45.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…c19dbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 346 | 31.2%108 W · 238 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0150…0128backed GMBLERS ESPORTS | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.