TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Brasov: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Edas Butvilas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Frederico Ferreira Silvaof Frederico Ferreira Silva, Edas Butvilas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,920 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Edas Butvilas18c5,454$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.1711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Frederico Ferreira Silva68c2,114$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.331,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Edas Butvilas61c2,046$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.64,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Frederico Ferreira Silva37c2,000$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.41,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Edas Butvilas3c1,889$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.892,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Edas Butvilas10c1,442$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.324,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Edas Butvilas60c633.33$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.732,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Frederico Ferreira Silva60c617$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.621,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26a7…4fbabacked Edas Butvilas31c612.21$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.347428.4%21 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Edas Butvilas28c513.08$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.848,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Frederico Ferreira Silva40c469.83$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.968,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Edas Butvilas28c357.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Edas Butvilas8c265.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.668,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Frederico Ferreira Silva60c256.65$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.933,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Frederico Ferreira Silva68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.099,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Edas Butvilas20c200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3933134.7%115 W · 216 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Edas Butvilas49c176.91$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.61,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva59c158.29$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.496,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Edas Butvilas59c149.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7935457.3%203 W · 151 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Edas Butvilas14c140$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.951,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Frederico Ferreira Silva49c128.33$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.972,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x530b…244fbacked Edas Butvilas40c124.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva37c119$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.922,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Edas Butvilas39c103.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.112,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Edas Butvilas63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.21,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Frederico Ferreira Silva41c98.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.141,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Frederico Ferreira Silva71c96.22$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.631,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Edas Butvilas39c95.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.33,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Edas Butvilas41c72.64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked Frederico Ferreira Silva60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6721964.8%142 W · 77 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Edas Butvilas39c66.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.963,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Edas Butvilas30c60.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.376,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Frederico Ferreira Silva63c59.41$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9835349.9%176 W · 177 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Edas Butvilas31c54.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5835932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed Frederico Ferreira Silva68c52.67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.067842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f36…905fbacked Edas Butvilas42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217764.9%50 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Edas Butvilas59c48.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.930258.6%177 W · 125 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2022…37d9backed Edas Butvilas37c48.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.037835.9%28 W · 50 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Edas Butvilas65c46.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0162549.6%310 W · 315 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Edas Butvilas38c44.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1714435.4%51 W · 93 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Frederico Ferreira Silva43c41.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5282159.4%488 W · 333 L+3.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5b…2a5abacked Frederico Ferreira Silva37c40.66$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5116955.6%94 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Frederico Ferreira Silva58c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2973951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.73,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Edas Butvilas39c29.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Frederico Ferreira Silva41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.873748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde2f…ad33backed Edas Butvilas47c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3325336.4%92 W · 161 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva52c21.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4187060.2%524 W · 346 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Frederico Ferreira Silva70c21.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3186470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Frederico Ferreira Silva71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7933557%191 W · 144 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Edas Butvilas59c17.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3857845.7%264 W · 314 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Frederico Ferreira Silva70c17.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.152,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.