Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stanford Cardinal vs. Saint Louis Billikens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd25985315a348cf805430ba73a5a9d2509938689f1bae36a275ee02f0d93444
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stanford Cardinalof Stanford Cardinal, Saint Louis Billikens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Saint Louis Billikens | 71c | 8,870$6,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,269.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Saint Louis Billikens | 70c | 6,235$4,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,339.49 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stanford Cardinal | 28c | 5,008$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.65 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Stanford Cardinal | 34c | 3,901$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.19 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Stanford Cardinal | 42c | 1,961$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.15 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stanford Cardinal | 23c | 1,364$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.27 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Saint Louis Billikens | 54c | 1,341$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.25 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Stanford Cardinal | 17c | 1,200$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Stanford Cardinal | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Saint Louis Billikens | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Stanford Cardinal | 36c | 903.1$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.24 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 45c | 749.95$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.56 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stanford Cardinal | 46c | 676$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.04 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Stanford Cardinal | 23c | 495.43$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.84 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 54c | 400$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Stanford Cardinal | 41c | 368$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.71 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Stanford Cardinal | 28c | 308$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Stanford Cardinal | 40c | 304.12$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.47 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stanford Cardinal | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Stanford Cardinal | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Stanford Cardinal | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Stanford Cardinal | 49c | 59.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stanford Cardinal | 46c | 56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Saint Louis Billikens | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Stanford Cardinal | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…29dfbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.