Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd25e6997975201164f35c1eb8e74ae9e8f15231c8bc3e18a62c7e7897fbc8a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 2,810$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.77 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,576$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.47 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 1,251$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 1,212$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.15 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 67c | 1,119$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.27 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 33c | 855$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.15 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 66c | 720.17$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.4 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 34c | 554.31$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.47 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 33c | 500$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 31c | 382.8$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 39c | 325.66$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 31c | 296$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 249.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 249.27$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 68c | 205$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 204.03$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 196.84$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 67c | 170.12$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 167.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 148.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 148.13$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 42c | 148.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 142.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Yes | 18c | 113.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 34c | 92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 48.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 67c | 47.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 67c | 47.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 25c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Yes | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 37.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 34c | 33.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Yes | 34c | 31.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 67c | 30.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 68c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 19.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.