Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd5c600bdb85ff66264ed7aedde01444131ead1f161169b4af608a0f12ac6b64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 26c | 724.94$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.49 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 28c | 514.17$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Over | 72c | 279.17$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1c…fc18backed Over | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Under | 27c | 185$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8471…e4f0backed Over | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 74c | 127.44$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d1…461cbacked Over | 74c | 111.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 26c | 99.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…e30fbacked Over | 74c | 71.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d9…51c5backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…92e5backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Over | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 257 | 64.2%165 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30d…c27ebacked Over | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…f934backed Over | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c8c3backed Over | 74c | 54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96e…e7f9backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…281bbacked Over | 73c | 47.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Under | 28c | 39.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…1744backed Over | 68c | 36.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb9…4134backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…474abacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…5c2abacked Over | 66c | 21.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e0…3506backed Over | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Over | 74c | 19.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c3…7551backed Over | 74c | 16.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…5e59backed Over | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…dde9backed Over | 71c | 15.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…a3f6backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)Deep Cross Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP PlayoffsTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 WinnerDeep Cross Gaming won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 WinnerDeep Cross Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.