CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Basement Bobs (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddbe1ea39a86b8093095e0fe8f3a6dd74c4ec318179ea8dadb4ed5f879c208f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metizportof Metizport, Basement Bobs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Metizport | 57c | 4,455$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.69 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Metizport | 40c | 4,171$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.7 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Basement Bobs | 59c | 1,542$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.86 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Basement Bobs | 42c | 1,182$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.49 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec6…a2f1backed Basement Bobs | 44c | 966.4$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Basement Bobs | 41c | 856.56$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.19 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Basement Bobs | 70c | 841.55$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.09 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Basement Bobs | 42c | 752.5$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.05 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Basement Bobs | 56c | 396.57$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.08 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Basement Bobs | 43c | 289.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Metizport | 58c | 280.79$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.93 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Basement Bobs | 33c | 279.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked Basement Bobs | 70c | 223.9$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Basement Bobs | 47c | 206.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Basement Bobs | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Basement Bobs | 43c | 193.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Basement Bobs | 50c | 155.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Basement Bobs | 50c | 145.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Basement Bobs | 50c | 135.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Basement Bobs | 12c | 123.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Basement Bobs | 39c | 111.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed Basement Bobs | 71c | 110.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Basement Bobs | 50c | 110.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Basement Bobs | 72c | 81.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Basement Bobs | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…3ce5backed Basement Bobs | 45c | 73.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Metizport | 58c | 57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x813b…0e9fbacked Basement Bobs | 38c | 35.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed Basement Bobs | 47c | 34.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Basement Bobs | 43c | 26.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Basement Bobs | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Basement Bobs (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Basement Bobs (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 PlayoffsMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Basement Bobs - Map 1 WinnerMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Basement Bobs - Map 2 WinnerMetizport won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.