CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddc268e97412c29096abe4a2245b71f66bf1a7b54a3036de8c8c344ed2703133
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNiTY esportsof UNiTY esports, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 Ares | 29c | 1,227$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.77 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed UNiTY esports | 79c | 683.07$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked UNiTY esports | 63c | 524.57$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed UNiTY esports | 60c | 499.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.89 | 853 | 58.3%497 W · 356 L | +60.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UNiTY esports | 76c | 390.7$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.25 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed UNiTY esports | 68c | 319.87$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UNiTY esports | 66c | 313.55$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed G2 Ares | 40c | 241.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked G2 Ares | 22c | 198.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…1cebbacked UNiTY esports | 68c | 186.61$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed UNiTY esports | 55c | 170.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed UNiTY esports | 62c | 168.41$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 652 | 54.3%354 W · 298 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked G2 Ares | 37c | 164.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked G2 Ares | 40c | 144.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed G2 Ares | 37c | 141.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed G2 Ares | 39c | 125.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 601 | 43.1%259 W · 342 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked G2 Ares | 25c | 123.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed G2 Ares | 26c | 123.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed UNiTY esports | 67c | 123.23$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed G2 Ares | 39c | 117.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 1,087 | 37.5%408 W · 679 L | +33.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked G2 Ares | 32c | 109.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed G2 Ares | 22c | 106.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked G2 Ares | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed G2 Ares | 36c | 77.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed G2 Ares | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 395 | 40.3%159 W · 236 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed UNiTY esports | 59c | 53.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed G2 Ares | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked UNiTY esports | 61c | 40.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed G2 Ares | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked UNiTY esports | 64c | 35.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed UNiTY esports | 63c | 34.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed UNiTY esports | 69c | 34.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 32c | 32.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed UNiTY esports | 57c | 31.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 280 | 48.6%136 W · 144 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed UNiTY esports | 61c | 29.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed UNiTY esports | 62c | 27.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked UNiTY esports | 65c | 27.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed UNiTY esports | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed G2 Ares | 40c | 25.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…1d32backed UNiTY esports | 53c | 24.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed UNiTY esports | 55c | 24.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed UNiTY esports | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 548 | 39.8%218 W · 330 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked UNiTY esports | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs G2 Ares - Map 1 WinnerUNiTY esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.