Tennis · resolved market
ITF Columbus: Thara Gowda vs Dana Guzman
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddcf21700fd109e3b0f90630b40ac2f2b6777d39d1a0a21f428d5370740058c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thara Gowdaof Thara Gowda, Dana Guzman
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Dana Guzman | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Thara Gowda | 32c | 525$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Dana Guzman | 68c | 525$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Thara Gowda | 76c | 332.85$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Dana Guzman | 6c | 322.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thara Gowda | 75c | 198.32$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Dana Guzman | 36c | 191.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Dana Guzman | 34c | 169.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Dana Guzman | 32c | 151.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thara Gowda | 76c | 129.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Dana Guzman | 33c | 108.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Thara Gowda | 79c | 101.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dana Guzman | 11c | 92.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Dana Guzman | 46c | 91.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Dana Guzman | 66c | 56.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Thara Gowda | 31c | 54.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thara Gowda | 36c | 50.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Dana Guzman | 69c | 49.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Thara Gowda | 58c | 32.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Thara Gowda | 65c | 30.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.