CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdde2e00d9f353aef11062388317ff2f3961fbbd56b6d9e14e34ad90e2fecf07f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Turma do Pagodeof Turma do Pagode, BESTIA Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Turma do Pagode | 77c | 1,534$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.76 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BESTIA Academy | 4c | 747$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BESTIA Academy | 16c | 599.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BESTIA Academy | 17c | 581.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked BESTIA Academy | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BESTIA Academy | 23c | 465.18$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed BESTIA Academy | 15c | 403.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Turma do Pagode | 76c | 325.67$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA Academy | 19c | 290.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed BESTIA Academy | 14c | 280.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked BESTIA Academy | 16c | 266$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed BESTIA Academy | 25c | 265.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed BESTIA Academy | 27c | 216$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BESTIA Academy | 17c | 192.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed BESTIA Academy | 9c | 155.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed BESTIA Academy | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed BESTIA Academy | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed BESTIA Academy | 17c | 133$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked BESTIA Academy | 17c | 133$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed BESTIA Academy | 17c | 133$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA Academy | 28c | 131.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BESTIA Academy | 28c | 101.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed BESTIA Academy | 35c | 100.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed BESTIA Academy | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Turma do Pagode | 69c | 95.19$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed BESTIA Academy | 16c | 92.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed Turma do Pagode | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed BESTIA Academy | 17c | 83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed BESTIA Academy | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed BESTIA Academy | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed BESTIA Academy | 25c | 78.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Turma do Pagode | 66c | 75.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA Academy | 29c | 74.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed BESTIA Academy | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…a875backed BESTIA Academy | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Turma do Pagode | 78c | 19.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 PlayoffsTurma do Pagode won
- Counter-Strike: Turma do Pagode vs BESTIA Academy - Map 2 WinnerTurma do Pagode won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.