Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde14f547ac14e58edaf3582cfa7413bb13bee54651dbd548d8ef80b8e6a30f9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersof Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders, New Orleans Privateers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b9e…0262backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 51c | 3,025$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed New Orleans Privateers | 49c | 1,377$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.73 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked New Orleans Privateers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Orleans Privateers | 49c | 717.23$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.98 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 52c | 628.74$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 46c | 375$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed New Orleans Privateers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed New Orleans Privateers | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed New Orleans Privateers | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked New Orleans Privateers | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…ace1backed New Orleans Privateers | 49c | 20.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders (-4.5)this page
- New Orleans Privateers vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi IslandersTexas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders won
- New Orleans Privateers vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: O/U 145.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.