Tennis · resolved market
ITF Corroios-Seixal: Veronika Podrez vs Manon Leonard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde1a1debf6b304c44718ecc25d8bec3502c916f1fc1f89adc3c7e4754e744f83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Veronika Podrezof Veronika Podrez, Manon Leonard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manon Leonard | 16c | 2,571$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.97 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Manon Leonard | 20c | 1,967$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.74 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Manon Leonard | 26c | 1,618$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Veronika Podrez | 75c | 1,046$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.26 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Manon Leonard | 20c | 264$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Manon Leonard | 26c | 243.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Veronika Podrez | 75c | 240.3$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 302 | 58.6%177 W · 125 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Manon Leonard | 16c | 228.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Veronika Podrez | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Veronika Podrez | 75c | 179.96$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Veronika Podrez | 75c | 178.63$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Manon Leonard | 18c | 170.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Veronika Podrez | 73c | 137.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Veronika Podrez | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Veronika Podrez | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Manon Leonard | 27c | 136.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Veronika Podrez | 75c | 136$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Manon Leonard | 19c | 126$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Veronika Podrez | 76c | 115.79$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Manon Leonard | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Veronika Podrez | 75c | 100.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Manon Leonard | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Manon Leonard | 25c | 78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Manon Leonard | 17c | 63.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Manon Leonard | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Manon Leonard | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed Manon Leonard | 28c | 43.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Veronika Podrez | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Veronika Podrez | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Veronika Podrez | 80c | 39.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Veronika Podrez | 77c | 39.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Veronika Podrez | 73c | 34.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Veronika Podrez | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Veronika Podrez | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Veronika Podrez | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Veronika Podrez | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Veronika Podrez | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Veronika Podrez | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Veronika Podrez | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Veronika Podrez | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Veronika Podrez | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Veronika Podrez | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Veronika Podrez | 73c | 14.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…1ed2backed Veronika Podrez | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.62 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.