Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Drita vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde1ed357ea28f293933ed513d07c7f0ad32f2c2af4ba1ce452aaa18622a1b0ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 2,179$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.95 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 31c | 1,073$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.76 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 53c | 993.34$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.47 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 42c | 443.65$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.37 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 390.19$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 74c | 326$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Over | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 31c | 158.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 17c | 95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 38c | 78.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 30c | 71.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 72c | 55.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 78c | 45.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 42 | 90.5%38 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Over | 77c | 44.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 64c | 31.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 36c | 28.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 64c | 22.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 55c | 19.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 68c | 18.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Drita vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Drita vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Drita vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Drita (-1.5)Inter Club d'Escaldes won
- Spread: FC Drita (-2.5)Inter Club d'Escaldes won
- Spread: Inter Club d'Escaldes (-1.5)FC Drita won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.