Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs AVULUS (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde38f73ed84a9199963a5957e10ef19ec955436763e5a393f6eb204f215f7136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Power Rangers, AVULUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Power Rangers | 70c | 1,783$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.78 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked AVULUS | 34c | 1,291$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.27 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed AVULUS | 2c | 925$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked AVULUS | 36c | 814.35$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked AVULUS | 4c | 811.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Power Rangers | 63c | 803.13$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.4 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Power Rangers | 70c | 547.75$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.33 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AVULUS | 27c | 517.3$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.96 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed AVULUS | 34c | 399.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Power Rangers | 64c | 361.74$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.23 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked AVULUS | 6c | 311.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Power Rangers | 66c | 295.45$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Power Rangers | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked AVULUS | 28c | 239.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Power Rangers | 68c | 221.33$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AVULUS | 24c | 216.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed AVULUS | 36c | 173$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed AVULUS | 28c | 160$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…b0cdbacked Power Rangers | 66c | 108.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed AVULUS | 37c | 103.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Power Rangers | 67c | 100.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…f6fbbacked Power Rangers | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked AVULUS | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed AVULUS | 27c | 73.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Power Rangers | 65c | 70.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…80ddbacked AVULUS | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked Power Rangers | 66c | 53.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…f3c6backed AVULUS | 35c | 43.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked Power Rangers | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Power Rangers | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Power Rangers | 61c | 32.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed AVULUS | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Power Rangers | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked AVULUS | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Power Rangers | 61c | 28.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed Power Rangers | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…4eaabacked Power Rangers | 71c | 16.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs AVULUS (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs AVULUS - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs AVULUS - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.